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野田欲借TPP在大選前提高民望
報道 2012年11月12日
東京——為了挽救本黨頹勢，日本首相野田佳彥(Yoshihiko Noda)棋出新招，似乎有可能宣布，日本意圖加入一個宏圖遠大的泛太平洋自由貿易協定，而後宣布舉行選舉，並將加入協定作為民主黨的競選綱領之一。
上周六，日本主要媒體報道說，野田內閣內部支持該計劃的力量正在增長，贊同日本在未來兩個月內宣布加入以美國為首的這一地區協定。報道說，隨後，政府將會立即宣布解散國會，在一個月之後舉行全國大選。
日本一直對是否加入《泛太平洋夥伴關係協定》(Trans-Pacific Partnership)左右搖擺，該協定遭到受到重度保護的日本農民的反對，但獲得了消費者和工業集團的支持。有關政府意向的報道出現在大多數主要的日本媒體上，由此暗示了野田佳彥所在的民主黨(Democratic Party)已經作出了協調一致的努力，開始釋放有關戰略轉向的信號。
日本國家戰略擔當相前原誠司(Seiji Maehara)也表示，加入該協定將成為“民主黨的公開承諾，也應該是民主黨角逐大選的主要議題。”
簽訂該協定可能會取悅美國。過去兩年里，美國一直敦促日本加入跨太平洋夥伴關係集團，以此推動全球經濟走出持續下滑的困境。新聞報道暗示，在日本對中國在該地區的野心日益感到不安之時，簽訂協定也是日本政府進一步拉攏日美關係的一種方式。新聞報道把可能加入協定的決議形容為日本首相的一次國內政治賭博，為了防止所在政黨在大選中慘敗。全國大選必須在明年9月之前舉行。
自福島核事故以來，民主黨遭到廣泛批評，被指處置危機不力。該黨一直謀求重新獲得公眾支持。在最近的民意調查中，野田佳彥的支持率已經跌到了百分之十幾。
反對黨催促野田兌現早前的承諾，“儘快”舉行大選。他說，他和黨內領導人會在做好準備之後，決定大選的時間。
如果野田佳彥在加入泛太平洋貿易協定一事上宣布明確的立場，他可能意在重獲民主黨基礎選民城市白領和工會成員的支持。他們可能會歡迎一個更為開放的市場可能帶來的物價降低和出口的增加。
但此舉也可能得罪日本最強大的選民群體，農民。上周五，大約有六名民主黨黨員表示，如果野田佳彥支持加入該貿易協定，他們可能會脫離民主黨。
加入該協定也可能將日本最大的反對黨，目前在民調之中領先的自由民主黨(Liberal Democratic Party)置於不利的政治位置。自民黨一直避免在加入協定問題上採取明確立場，原因是他們試圖保持農民和大企業的支持，傳統上，這兩者是自民黨最大的支持群體。新聞報道說，野田佳彥可能希望藉此逼迫自民黨明確表態，從而對反對黨構成損害。
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