2012年11月12日 星期一

Japan economy contracts.../ 台日漁業談判的前途



Japan's Economy Shrinks At Fastest Pace Since Earthquake
Japan's economy shrank last quarter as exports tumbled and consumer spending slumped, putting pressure on the central bank to add stimulus and hurting Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda's record as he prepares for elections. Gross domestic product fell an ...
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Japan PM eyes snap election after backing US-led trade pact
TOKYO (Reuters) - Under growing opposition pressure to keep a promise to call an election "soon",Japanese Prime Minister Yoshihiko Noda looks to be leaning toward calling a vote as early as next month, after pledging backing for a controversial U.S ...
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Japan Curbing China Investment as Feud-Weary Firms Flee
Along with Koito, Japanese parts-makers including Sumitomo Electric Industries Ltd. (5802) and Toyo Tire & Rubber Co. are rethinking plans to expand in China, where Toyota's sales plunged 41 percent in September as demonstrations over disputed East ...
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Japan's political kingpin cleared of funding conspiracy
TOKYO, Nov. 12 (Xinhua) -- Japan's political kingmaker Ichiro Ozawa was cleared by the Tokyo High Court on Monday of misreporting political funds, following a lengthy courtroom battle during which Ozawa unwaveringly maintained his innocence. The high ...
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China criticizes Dalai Lama's comments during Japan visit over island dispute ...
Washington Post
BEIJING — China on Monday accused the Dalai Lama of allying with Japanese right wingers in an island dispute as a way of attacking China and blamed him for glorifying a wave of self-immolations among Tibetans. The exiled Tibetan spiritual leader's use ...
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Most Emerging Stocks Drop as Japan Economy Offsets China Exports
Most emerging-market stocks fell as declines in Indian factory output and Japanese gross domestic product overshadowed faster Chinese export growth. The yuan climbed to a 19-year high. About three stocks declined for every two that rose in the MSCI ...
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Japan aims for half of rare earth supplies from outside China
TOKYO Nov 12 (Reuters) - Japan is to diversify its sources of rare earths away from China and expects to get half its supplies of the elements from countries other than China from the middle of next year, Trade Minister Yukio Edano said on Monday ...
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Japan DPJ Reaches Preliminary Deficit Bond Deal With Opposition
The ruling Democratic Party of Japan reached a preliminary deal with the two main opposition parties on legislation to fund the rest of this year's budget. The agreement calls for revising spending plans for the current fiscal year ending in March that ...
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Japan facing 'monetary cliff'
MarketWatch (blog)
“The extent of the weakness was in line with September industrial production and other data, and should lend credence to the view that Japan is headed for a recession, in our opinion,” economists at Nomura said after the data. Japan's economy has ...
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How debts and double-dealing sparked Japan-China islets row
OMIYA, Japan (Reuters) - The road to China's breakdown in relations with Japan began here - a sleepy Tokyo suburb that is home to the reclusive real-estate investor at the centre of the explosive property deal that enraged Beijing. Surrounded by ...
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但 這次不一樣,中國爆發的歷來最大反日浪潮,不論是中國人民自願的,還是中共官方炮製的,都讓日本大吃一驚,台灣漁船也跟著大舉前往釣魚台海域抗議,但台灣 和中國不一樣,重點毋寧擺在台灣漁民的漁權問題。日本政府判斷,如果不再和台灣重啟漁業談判,馬英九政府可能在釣魚台問題上和中國聯手抗日,因此日本希望和台灣重啟漁業談判,以阻止國共聯合抗日。
據 了解,日本外務省有誠意和台灣進行漁業談判,但必須和主權問題切割,日本政府相關單位也很了解所謂「台灣內部高層」是哪一號人物。一名外務省官員表示,不 和主權切割就無法談漁業,如果「台灣內部高層」硬要將漁業談判和主權扯在一起,結果就只是談判從十六次增加到十七次而已。




Japan economy contracts as global slowdown hits exports

Honda factory in Japan Japanese car makers have seen their sales in China slide after the anti-Japan protests

Japan's economy contracted in the July to September quarter, as a global economic slowdown and anti-Japan protests in China hurt its exports, while domestic consumption remained subdued.
Gross domestic product (GDP) contracted 3.5% from a year earlier.
Compared with the previous three months, the economy contracted 0.9%.
The weak data is likely to put pressure on the government to boost stimulus measures to spur growth.
"There are risks from both domestic and external factors," said Tatsushi Shikano, senior economist at Mitsubishi UFJ Morgan Stanley Securities in Tokyo.
"As such, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) will stand ready to ease monetary policy again, and it would not surprise me if the BOJ eased again by the end of this year."

Heading for recession?
Japan's economy, the world's third-largest, has been trying to recover from last year's earthquake and tsunami, which caused widespread destruction in the country.
However, its recovery has been hampered by a combination of factors.

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The decline in exports seems large. Consumption and capital expenditure were also weak, showing that both external and domestic demand are weak”
Yasuo Yamamoto Mizhuo Research Institute
A slowdown in key markets, such as the US and eurozone has hurt demand for its exports, one of the biggest drivers of Japanese growth.
Slowing growth and anti-Japan protests in China - Japan's biggest trading partner - have further impacted its export sector.
To add to its woes, the debt crisis in the eurozone and weak recovery in the US have seen many investors flock to safe-haven assets such as the yen, resulting in the Japanese currency strengthening against the US dollar and the euro.
The yen has risen 5% against the US dollar since March this year and 8.5% against the euro during that period.
That makes Japanese goods more expensive for American and European consumers, hurting the earnings of the country's exporters.
To make matters worse, attempts by policymakers to boost domestic demand have had little effect. Private consumption fell 0.5% in the July to September quarter, from the previous three months.
Analysts said that given these factors the economy was likely to shrink further in the current quarter and enter a technical recession.
"The decline in exports seems large. Consumption and capital expenditure were also weak, showing that both external and domestic demand are weak," said Yasuo Yamamoto, senior economist at Mizuho Research Institute in Tokyo.
"Economic data deteriorated sharply from September, and this means Japan is already in recession," he added.
Focus on yen Faced with slowing external and domestic demand, Japan's central bank has taken various steps to try and spur growth.

Japanese Yen v US Dollar

Last Updated at 08 Nov 2012, 17:36 GMT JPY:USD three month chart
¥1 buys change %
Earlier this month, the BOJ extended its asset purchase programme by 11 trillion yen ($138bn; £86bn). Under the programme, the central bank buys bonds to keep long-term borrowing costs down.
It also said that it will offer unlimited loans to banks to encourage lending in an effort to boost domestic consumption.
However, analysts said the measures were unlikely to have a major effect, not least because firms were holding back expansion plans in the wake of an uncertain economic environment.
"There is very little demand for credit. In fact Japanese firms are holding back on capital expenditure," Junko Nishioka, the chief economist of RBS Securities in Tokyo, told the BBC.
Ms Nishioka added that policymakers instead needed to focus on measures that will help weaken the yen, as the uncertain global economic environment was likely to see the Japanese currency, which is seen by some as a safe-haven asset in such times, remain strong.